油页岩含矿区开发优选的指标体系和权重的确定
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中国地质调查局(12120110813079-2)、国土资源部公益性行业科研专项(200811013)资助。


The determination of the index system and weights for the development optimism of oil shale potential areas
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    摘要:

    提要:油页岩资源开发目标优选是根据一系列参数,采用综合指标评价法确定未来油页岩资源开发利用的顺序,为制定油页岩资源战略发展规划和合理开发利用提供科学依据,从而实现最优决策。油页岩含矿区开发优选的指标体系根据层次分析法由一系列递进的参数构成,包括2个制约方面、3项制约条件、9个制约因素。指标权重的确定根据德尔菲法和专家问卷调查法确定,制约油页岩开发的资源条件权重占0.45。其中加权平均含油率占0.15,油页岩探明控制资源占0.15,油页岩资源丰度占0.10,伴生可利用矿产占0.05。开采条件占0.35,其中加权平均技术可采系数占0.15,矿层平均厚度占0.12,平均埋深占0.08。开发条件占 0.2,其中勘查程度占0.15,地理环境占0.05。优选参数的等级划分采用四分法,赋予参数分值均采用中位值方法。

    Abstract:

    Abstract:The development optimism of oil shale is carried out in accordance with a series of parameters, with the purpose of determining the sequence of oil shale resource development in future by adopting the aggregate index evaluation method. It provides scientific basis for strategic development planning and rational exploitation of oil shale resources so as to achieve the optimal decision. The index system for development optimism of the oil shale potential areas is constituted by a series of progressive parameters and includes two restricted aspects, three restricted conditions and nine restricted elements. The weights are determined by the Delphi method and the expert questionnaire method. The weight of condition in resources is 0.45, in which the weighted mean oil content is 0.15, the reserves possess 0.15, the resource abundance is 0.10, and the associated minerals possess 0.05. The weight of production condition is 0.35, in which the weighted mean technical recoverable ratio is 0.15, the average thickness of the ore bed is 0.12, and the average buried depth of the ore bed is 0.08. The weight of development condition is 0.2, in which the exploration intensity is 0.15, and the geographical circumstance is 0.05. The preferred parameters are divided into four grades, which are given the fractional values by the median method.

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陈会军 刘招君 朱建伟 孟庆涛 柳 蓉 许圣传 付占荣. 油页岩含矿区开发优选的指标体系和权重的确定[J]. 中国地质, 2009, 36(6): 1359-1365.
CHEN Hui-jun, LIU Zhao-jun, ZHU Jian-wei, MENG Qing-tao, LIU Rong, XU Shen-chuan, FU Zhan-rong. The determination of the index system and weights for the development optimism of oil shale potential areas[J]. Geology in China, 2009, 36(6): 1359-1365(in Chinese with English abstract).

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  • 在线发布日期: 2013-03-12
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