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    白龙江流域高位远程滑坡变形破坏模式及危险性评价

    Deformation failure mode and risk assessment of high-level remote landslides in the Bailong River Basin

    • 摘要:
      研究目的 白龙江流域新构造运动活跃,地质环境脆弱,高位远程滑坡频发,该类滑坡变形破坏模式复杂,破坏机制尚不明确,严重威胁区域安全。
      研究方法 以舟曲立节北山滑坡为研究对象,通过现场调查、三维数值模拟方法,结合深部位移及孔隙水压力高精度原位监测仪器,系统揭示降雨作用下的滑坡变形破坏模式,采用数值模拟方法分析滑坡失稳后的运动特征,对滑坡危险性进行科学评价。
      研究结果 结果表明:单一降雨作用下,滑坡呈前缘牵引式滑动,变形区域随降雨强度增加逐步向后扩展,降雨强度为100 mm/d时滑带形成贯通的塑性区;滑坡深度26.7 m以上地层整体活动,地表最大位移为148.3 mm,同时,随孔隙水压力累积与剪切挤压共同驱动,埋深18 m处的滑带发生渐进破坏;失稳后滑坡受坡面地形切割与导流作用,转化为碎屑流,其峰值速度为44.6 m/s,在坡脚堆积区覆盖面积达0.27 km2,并冲击白龙江右岸,堵塞河道形成长558.4 m、均厚7.4 m的堰塞坝。
      结论 立节北山滑坡的变形破坏是受内外动力的共同影响,其变形由前缘向后渐进扩展,表现出前缘逐级牵引与后部推移的复合破坏模式;滑坡整体失稳后具备引发堵江灾害链的潜在风险,具有严重威胁。研究成果为白龙江流域高位远程滑坡的监测预警与灾害防治提供了科学的理论依据。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective New tectonic movement in the Bailong River Basin is active, the geological environment is fragile, and high-level long-distance landslides occur frequently. The deformation and failure modes of such landslides are complex, and the failure mechanism is unclear, which threatens the regional security.
      Methods Taking the Beishan landslide in Zhouqu Lijie as the research object, field investigations, high-precision in situ monitoring instruments of deep displacement and pore water pressure, and three-dimensional numerical simulation methods were used to systematically reveal the deformation and failure mode of landslides under rainfall. Numerical simulation was used to analyse the motion characteristics of landslides after instability, and the landslide risk was scientifically evaluated.
      Results The results reveal that under the action of single rainfall events, the landslide experienced leading edge traction sliding, and the deformation area gradually expanded backward with increasing rainfall intensity. When the rainfall intensity reaches 100 mm/d, the sliding zone forms a penetrating plastic zone. Overall, the strata above the landslide depth of 26.7 m are active, and the maximum surface displacement is 148.3 mm. Moreover, with the accumulation of pore water pressure and shear extrusion, the sliding zone at a burial depth of 18 m gradually destroyed. After instability occurs, the landslide transforms into a debris flow because of the cutting and diversion of the slope topography. The peak velocity is 44.6 m/s, and the coverage area at the foot of the slope is 0.27 km2. This finding impacts the right bank of the Bailong River and blocks the river to form a barrier dam with a length of 558.4 m and an average thickness of 7.4 m.
      Conclusions The deformation and failure mode of the Beishan landslide are affected by both internal and external forces. The deformation gradually expands from the leading edge to the back, showing a composite failure mode of leading edge traction and back pushing. After the overall instability of the landslide, there is a potential risk of the disaster chain blocking the river, which is a serious threat. The results provide a scientific theoretical basis for monitoring, early warning and disaster prevention of high-level remote landslides in the Bailongjiang River Basin.

       

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